That got me thinking about probabilities, so I crunched some number for you (you can thank me by reading this):
- There are 70 win/loss combinations possible in the World Series (and incidentally, in any other 7-game series, such as the NHL or MLB playoffs) - this 70 includes winning (or losing) in 4 games, 5, 6, or 7 games.
- Assuming 50/50 win probabilities, there is a:
- 2% chance of a 4 game series
- 12% chance of 5 games
- 28% chance of 6 games
- 58% chance of 7 games
- This absolutely makes sense from a statistical perspective, b/c if the teams are perfectly evenly matched, you would not except a sweep - you would expect each team to win at least a couple.
Of course if you like a sure thing, you should buy tickets for games 4-7; just be prepared to spend some dough.